Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 12.821826 14.367310 16.040944 17.990522 20.202323 22.637285 25.525953
2025-05-11 10.459337 12.520545 14.918571 17.924544 21.605818 25.984847 31.614807
2025-05-18 8.720180 11.055704 13.948646 17.818304 22.893345 29.369614 38.335087
2025-05-25 7.388723 9.858149 13.093136 17.681787 24.088312 32.811522 45.752599
2025-06-01 6.381823 8.914461 12.404408 17.626955 25.351220 36.523336 54.213906
2025-06-08 5.599202 8.152946 11.837654 17.629387 26.665318 40.493762 63.783061
2025-06-15 5.112703 7.740127 11.698945 18.218779 28.924306 46.226654 77.175637
2025-06-22 4.549747 7.129114 11.167855 18.102918 30.027663 50.281086 88.570328
2025-06-29 4.019087 6.495522 10.509944 17.669769 30.511605 53.343987 98.791146
2025-07-06 3.610579 6.006518 10.018852 17.435841 31.283170 57.005658 110.817674
2025-07-13 3.392751 5.809519 9.990798 18.004287 33.586696 63.857806 130.520834
2025-07-20 3.203488 5.637095 9.979532 18.593372 36.010193 71.341160 153.139842
2025-07-27 2.979478 5.382623 9.800714 18.863224 37.901557 78.205523 176.280905
2025-08-03 2.705985 5.005132 9.347056 18.527210 38.495141 82.450879 194.442664
2025-08-10 2.471445 4.675362 8.945832 18.242021 39.154493 86.974407 214.433977
2025-08-17 2.267528 4.382666 8.583117 17.986720 39.840097 91.694050 236.151898
2025-08-24 2.098490 4.141156 8.295705 17.854393 40.788298 97.228627 261.528669
2025-08-31 1.955013 3.936378 8.060637 17.805845 41.929260 103.469665 290.604456
2025-09-07 1.876472 3.859040 8.087849 18.366380 44.671394 114.413699 336.726441
2025-09-14 1.749740 3.664557 7.835874 18.226041 45.599518 120.667775 370.131747
2025-09-21 1.612755 3.433673 7.476832 17.774394 45.631845 124.431632 396.565370
2025-09-28 1.503426 3.253645 7.214359 17.528876 46.183958 129.814440 430.140359
2025-10-05 1.455735 3.209235 7.263798 18.093663 49.109619 142.945338 495.527799